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GOOD NEWS ON THE HORIZON! Reported yesterday, September's inflation rate in Canada SLOWED to 3.8% (from 4.0% in August) – this figure, was lower what economists were expecting, driven by broad-base decline in prices overall. Lower prices were seen through a variety of goods and services, including travel, durable goods and some grocery items. Energy prices also declined slightly relative to August, but still remains high (+7.5% year-over-year).


 CPI%20Graph%20(s).png

Source: StatsCanada


On a monthly basis, the cost of living has declined in September by 0.1% – although very marginal, it is the very first time that's happened since November last year.

This welcomed report comes at a critical time, as the Bank of Canada will announce it's rate decision next week on October 25, 2023. This is probably the BEST NEWS the BoC has received in months, and will likely take confidence with a high probability of holding rates flat at 5%.


There is further evidence consumers are also cutting back, from things like recreation to restaurants, largely due to the outrageous rate hikes over the last few years.



 A few interesting graphs below:


 Key categories saw a price decline since August. The largest buckets of Food, Furnishings, Clothing, just to name a few of the biggest movers.


 CPI%20by%20category%20(s).png


 Alberta came in forth place as having the most decline in prices across Canada, while some other provinces actually saw an increase in month over month inflation rate.


 CPI%20by%20province%20(s).png

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Official figures are in from last month's real estate activity in Calgary - a few takeaways from the CREB Release:
 
1. Sales reached a RECORD HIGH of 2,441 last month (year-to-date sales still 12% lower than last year's levels)
 
2. IMPROVING sales-to-new listings ratio, now at 76% (from 87% in August)
 
3. Continued SUPPLY CONSTRAINT on inventory levels – 24% lower than this time last year
 
4. Benchmark residential price of $570,000, similar to August ($570,700) – still 9% higher than last year (across all residential property types)
 
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Property Type Takeaways:
 
Detached Market (Single Family)
• Benchmark price of $696,100 still remains 11% higher than the same time last year, with the East district of Calgary seeing a 20% YoY gain, vs. 9% within City Centre
 
Semi-Detached Market (Half Duplexes)
• Improving inventory levels, however with 295 units available, we haven't seen inventory this low since 2005!
• September prices ease slightly, but benchmark prices of $621,000 still represent an 11% higher the same time last year
 
Townhouses
• Also improving inventory relative to August, but conditions still represent a very tight market with less than one month of supply and continued upward pressure on prices
• Benchmark prices reach $419,900 (1.5% month over month, and 17% higher than the same time last year) - seen across all city districts
 
Apartments
• New listings in September where the highest reported for September, leading to record high sales
• Higher lending rates and tight rental market conditions have kept demand for apartments strong, and the market continues to remain strong at 1.5 months of supply
• Benchmark prices reach $312,800, 12% over last month and 15% higher than the same time last year
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Data is supplied by Pillar 9™ MLS® System. Pillar 9™ is the owner of the copyright in its MLS®System. Data is deemed reliable but is not guaranteed accurate by Pillar 9™.
The trademarks MLS®, Multiple Listing Service® and the associated logos are owned by The Canadian Real Estate Association (CREA) and identify the quality of services provided by real estate professionals who are members of CREA. Used under license.